Drugs & Suicide Could Kill Over 1.6 Million in the Next 10 Years

According to a new report, Pain in the Nation: The Drug, Alcohol and Suicide Epidemics and the Need for a National Resilience Strategy, released by the Trust for America’s Health and Well Being Trust, deaths from drugs, alcohol, and suicide could make up over 1.6 million fatalities over this decade (2016 to 2025). Between 2006 to 2015, there were 1 million deaths from these three causes. 

Deaths Due to Substance Abuse

If recent trends continue, the jump from 1 to 1.6 million would represent a 60 percent increase compared to the past decade. However, the study, unfortunately, found that these numbers may be a conservative estimate in light of the rapid rise of heroin, fentanyl and carfentanil use. If the nation continues on its current trajectories, death rates will actually double to 2 million by 2025.

The nonprofit group found that in 2015, there were 39.7 deaths per 100,000 US residents due to drugs, alcohol, and suicide, compared with 23.1 deaths per 100,000 in 1999—a 72 percent increase. That number could rise to 56 deaths per 100,000 by 2025, the group said.

National Resilience Strategy

All of these deaths are behavioral health-related — meaning, they have a substance abuse or mental health diagnosis associated with them. So, Pain in the Nation calls for the creation of a national resilience strategy that takes a comprehensive approach to the epidemic by focusing on prevention, early identification of issues and effective treatment. The report highlights more than 60 research-based policies, practices, and programs.

Breakdown For Kansas

Kansas’s rate of death could rise to 49 per 100,000 people from these three causes by 2025, which would be the 14th lowest, compared to the state’s current rate of 36 per 100,000 (as of 2015), which is the 16th lowest.

  • The drug overdose death rate was 11.3 per 100,000 in 2015 — seventh lowest.
  • The alcohol-induced death rate was 9.5 per 100,000 in 2015, which ranked 31st highest.
  • The suicide rate was 16.4 per 100,000 in 2015 — 20th highest.

Breakdown For Missouri

Bt 2025, Missouri’s death rate could rise to 58.5 per 100,000 people, which would be the 28th highest, compared to the state’s current rate of 41.7 per 100,000 (as of 2015), which is the 29th highest.

  • The drug overdose death rate was 17.5 per 100,000 in 2015 — 22nd highest.
  • The alcohol-induced death rate was 8.4 per 100,000 in 2015 — 14th lowest.
  • The suicide rate was 17.3 per 100,000 in 2015, which ranked 17th highest.

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